The Flying Car is Finally Here. It’s Slightly Illegal

This article originally ran in New York magazine on October 3, 2024

Most mornings, when the air lies still on the ridges of the North Cascades in central Washington State, Tim Lum climbs into his personal flying car, a 14-foot-long bean-shaped craft called a BlackFly, straps himself in, and sets the machine’s four rotor blades whirring. As the 61-year-old retired smoke jumper levitates into the crepuscular sky, the landscape opens up below him, the forest stretching along the ridge and the farmland sprawling across the valley floor below. The aircraft swings forward into horizontal flight, and Lum zips off, flowing along the contours of the land, taking in the scenery. “It’s stunning, very dramatic,” he tells me later. “Cliffs and trees and valleys.”

I’ve been writing paragraphs like this for decades for magazines like Popular Mechanics and Popular Science, imagining a time in the not-so-distant future when the long-awaited promise of flying cars — more officially known as electric vertical-takeoff-and-landing vehicles, or EVTOL — is finally made a reality. This time, though, the scene is not a flight of fancy. Lum is a real person, and he really does fly a personal flying machine, typically around five times a day.

If you have $190,000 on hand, you, too, could buy one — or, if your budget is more modest, you can book a rental ride in a different kind of electric flying vehicle for $249. At long last, the era of the flying car is here.

But there is a catch: The EVTOLs that are currently available are not, strictly speaking, legal. The entire fledgling industry, such as it is, exists in a kind of shadowland, where it’s unclear what exactly the rules are and what will happen if you break them. For the manufacturers, it’s a gamble, the kind of regulatory arbitrage that could allow them to jump ahead of more careful, rule-following competitors and become an industry-dominating colossus like Airbnb or Uber or could devolve into lawsuits and enforcement actions. “Move fast and break things” is the Silicon Valley way, but it’s very much the opposite of the safety-first mind-set of the rest of the aviation industry, where if things crash and burn, they do so literally — and the public and government are not quick to forgive.

Continue reading The Flying Car is Finally Here. It’s Slightly Illegal

Cabin Pressure

This article originally ran in Sherwood News on July 29, 2024.

For fans of private-jet travel, there’s good news and there’s bad news. The good news first: the industry is thriving, as a wave of high-net-worth individuals have discovered the pleasures of being able to fly when you want, where you want, and how you want, no matter the price. Sales of private jets are booming, and charter companies are lavishing clients with add-ons that range from private chefs and in-flight wellness exercises to meetings with a Tibetan lama

The bad news: the entire industry faces imminent extinction thanks to regulatory pressure and political opposition amid global efforts to stem the climate crisis. “We have to push for a ban on private jets,” French climate activist Charlène Fleury told me. “This is the most polluting and the most unfair and the least necessary mode of transport.”

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For a Billionaire, Trump Flies a Crappy Plane

This article originally ran in New York magazine on June 11, 2024

If Donald Trump gets reelected in November, he’ll win a bonanza of benefits, including freedom from prison, the ability to jail Joe Biden, a $400,000 salary, and kinglike powers. He’ll also get a massive upgrade in the quality of his air travel, from his ’90s vintage 757 dubbed Trump Force One to the real Air Force One, a pair of heavily modified 747s worth billions.

To hear Trump tell it, that’s not much of an upgrade at all. He once told Rolling Stone that Air Force One is “a step down” from his 757 “in every way.”

But that’s pure delusion. Sure, Trump’s plane is big, and it has a shiny new paint job, but from a true private-jet aficionado’s point of view, those are about its only virtues. “It’s like if you wanted to brag about having a massive yacht, so you bought the Staten Island Ferry and converted it,” says a private-jet broker who prefers not to be identified. “That’s not something that people who really know yachts would find impressive.”

Trump Force One, you might say, is a poor man’s idea of a rich man’s plane — a big shiny bauble that behind the scenes is “a plane past its prime with decaying mechanics and exorbitant storage fees,” as CNN put it. Which raises the question: Why is a guy supposedly as rich as Trump is flying around in such a jalopy? According to Bloomberg, he’s worth $6.5 billion. People with this kind of wealth generally fly planes like the Gulfstream G650 or the Dassault Falcon 8X, the Porsches and Lamborghinis of the air. By comparison, Trump is flying a secondhand school bus.

It’s not really that complicated, though. To understand the crappiness of Trump’s plane, it helps to know a bit more about planes and Trump.

Continue reading For a Billionaire, Trump Flies a Crappy Plane

Deep Dive MH370 #31: Season 1 Finale

To watch Deep Dive MH370 on YouTube, click the image above. To listen to the audio version on Apple Music, Spotify, or Amazon Music, click here.

For a concise, easy-to-read overview of the material in this podcast I recommend my 2019 book The Taking of MH370, available on Amazon.

We’ve been making this weekly podcast for eight months now, and it feels like we could literally go on forever. But having come this far, we’ve come to feel that the most productive way forward will be to take a pause, collect our breath, and consider how best to press forward. So we’ve decided to use this episode to mark an end of Season One. We’re going to rest and regroup for a spell before coming back with a freshly conceived Season Two.

[A practical note: while we’re on hiatus, I’m going to pause paid subscriptions, so that people on monthly plans won’t get charged until we return, and people with yearly plans will have their subscription period extended.]

At heart, our core motivating belief is that this is a profoundly important case and we want to do everything in our power to help the public understand it. So today we’re going to talk about six major advancements that we think we’ve made towards that goal over the last 30 episodes.

Before I do that, though, a quick sidenote: Over the past week, I was delighted to be invited onto “avgeek” podcast Next Trip Network. Hosts Doug and Drew invited me on to talk about both MH370 and the latest crisis at Boeing so I encourage anyone interested in these topics to check that out.

And now, onward to the six big things from Season 1:

Continue reading Deep Dive MH370 #31: Season 1 Finale

Deep Dive MH370 #30: A 777 Pilot Weighs In

Today we’re going to go deeper than we’ve ever gone before on a question that I’ve called the crux of the whole MH370 mystery, and which is newly important because a bunch of viral MH370 videos have come out that spend a lot of time discussing it and, I’ll argue, they’re getting it wrong. And it matters a great deal because these videos are shaping what the public thinks is a reasonable explanation of the mystery.

To help us with this important task we have with us a very special guest today, Juan Browne, an experienced airline pilot and the host of the popular aviation channel Blancolirio on YouTube.

Juan has been flying airplanes for a very long time, and most recently he’s been working as a first officer on 777 flights over the Atlantic, so he really knows aviation and he knows this plane in particular. I reached out to Juan because I knew he could help us understand a crucial but widely misundersood aspect of the MH370 mystery. Namely: how did MH370’s satcom get turned off, and get turned back on again?

Continue reading Deep Dive MH370 #30: A 777 Pilot Weighs In

Sherwood: Can China profit from Boeing’s woes?

There was nothing particularly special-looking about the twin-engine airliner parked on the tarmac at the Singapore Airshow in February. It was white, with the usual rows of rounded windows on either side and a red-and-blue airline logo emblazoned on the tail. But though its appearance was nondescript, the aircraft represented something potentially game-changing for aviation: a long-planned, well-funded, and extremely determined attempt by China to break into the tightly sealed $400B commercial-aircraft marketplace. “They’re serious about this,” said Shukor Yusof, an aviation analyst at Endau Analytics in Singapore.

The plane on display at the airshow was the C919, a narrowbody airliner built by the Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China, or Comac, a state-owned manufacturer headquartered in Shanghai. Though five of the machines are now flying domestically within China, the C919’s appearance in Singapore was the first time the plane had appeared abroad and marked an important step in what is widely regarded as a long-shot bid to take on the industry’s twin Goliaths, Boeing and Airbus. 

Until recently, many would have pegged the chance of success at practically zero. But with Boeing reeling from a series of blunders over the past six years, Comac’s chances right now are looking brighter. The flying public is newly wary of Boeing’s planes, and airlines have been stymied by the company’s production bottlenecks. “The Chinese are exploiting the shortage of aircraft in the marketplace,” Yusof said.

Continue reading Sherwood: Can China profit from Boeing’s woes?

Deep Dive MH370 #29: Motive

Why would Russia hijack a Malaysian airliner and lead the world on a wild goose chase?

It doesn’t seem to make much sense.

Unless you understand the man who makes the decisions in Russia, and how he sees the world.

Vladimir Putin was a KGB officer stationed in East Germany when the Berlin Wall fell. Like many patriotic Russians, Putin experienced the collapse of the Soviet Union not as the blossoming of freedom, but as the humiliation of a once-great power. Territory that had once been considered the heartland of the empire split off into independent states. Putin later called it “the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the century.”

Under communism, all wealth belonged to the state, including Russia’s vast oil, timber, and mineral reserves. In the brave new world of capitalism, all that was up for grabs. Tremendous fortunes were amassed overnight by people connected enough and ruthless enough to grab them. Entrepreneurs with shady connections grew obscenely wealthy while the majority slid into poverty. Birth rates plunged and the life expectancy of the average Russian male fell from 64 in 1990 to 58 in 1994. The nation was literally dying.

Continue reading Deep Dive MH370 #29: Motive

New York: Boeing Nosedive

The phone in Room 511, in a Holiday Inn off the highway in Charleston, South Carolina, rang and rang with no response. John Barnett’s attorneys were calling after their client failed to show up for his third day of deposition against his former employer, Boeing. It was Saturday, March 9, and the lawyers, Rob Turkewitz and Brian Knowles, were looking forward to getting his story on the record. Barnett had worked in the company’s South Carolina plant building 787 airliners from 2011 to 2017, during which time he’d witnessed numerous safety violations. After he took his complaints public, Barnett alleged, Boeing had punished him by denying him promotions and forcing him to retire early. By suing, he sought not only to redress his own mistreatment but also to push Boeing to revamp its safety culture. The need was urgent: Boeing’s reputation had been in free fall since the start of the year, starting with the blowout of a door plug on a brand-new 737 Max-9 over Oregon and continuing with a series of well-publicized mishaps, including an incident just the day before when a wheel fell off a 777 leaving San Francisco.

When Barnett failed to answer the phone, Turkewitz and Knowles called the hotel and asked the staff to look for his orange Dodge Ram pickup. It was sitting in the parking lot with Barnett inside, dead. His finger was still on the trigger of a silver pistol. Conspiracy theories exploded, intensifying further after a relative claimed to a local TV station that Barnett had told her that “if anything happens, it’s not suicide.” There were two ways to interpret the story: Either Boeing’s communications strategy had been expanded to include assassination, or its reputation had become so toxic that the public found it possible to believe the worst.

Continue reading New York: Boeing Nosedive

Deep Dive MH370 #28: Is WSPR Real?

To watch Deep Dive MH370 on YouTube, click the image above. To listen to the audio version on Apple Music, Spotify, or Amazon Music, click here.

For a concise, easy-to-read overview of the material in this podcast I recommend my 2019 book The Taking of MH370, available on Amazon.

Interested in connecting with a growing, passionate audience? Let’s talk. Email andy@onmilwaukee.com.

It’s a special episode today: Andy is on vacation, so for the very first time I’m helming this podcast without him. It’s a pretty common thing for co-hosts of podcasts to alternate taking episodes off and I think it’s a pretty practical thing but it’s also venturing into new waters, so we’ll see how it goes.

I’m really excited for today’s episode because we’re going to be talking about two things, one that’s brand new and one that’s an old favorite. The new one has to do with a viral YouTube video by a popular aviation podcaster named Mentour Pilot about a new technology called WSPR, pronounced “whisper.” A lot of listeners and viewers have been asking about it, so we’ll be tackling that today.

But first, a topic that I’ve been fascinated by for years: the art of stage magic and what it can tell us about MH370.

Continue reading Deep Dive MH370 #28: Is WSPR Real?